Sport Picks

England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham

Nottingham W

2 - 1

Newcastle Utd W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Lia V. In: Hed E.

Out: Lia V.

46'

Sub

Rodgers A. In: Thomas F.

Out: Rodgers A.

54'

Lumsden B.

Assist: Murphy E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nottingham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Nottingham W

30%

Draws

50%

Newcastle Utd W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Newcastle Utd W come out ahead of Nottingham W on wins alone.
50% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd W taking it.
Newcastle Utd W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Nottingham W Clean Sheet 20%

Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nottingham W	Newcastle Utd W
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	5	8
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.21	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 WSL 2

Newcastle Utd W vs Nottingham W

1:1

Sep 24, 2025 Women's League Cup

Nottingham W vs Newcastle Utd W

2:1

Sep 7, 2025 WSL 2

Nottingham W vs Newcastle Utd W

1:2

Jan 12, 2025 Women’s FA Cup

Newcastle Utd W vs Nottingham W

1:0

Jan 21, 2024 Women's National League North

Newcastle Utd W vs Nottingham W

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Claypole A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Smith K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Newcastle Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lumsden B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 12 / 100

Newcastle Utd W 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nottingham W Newcastle Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Nottingham W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham W VS Newcastle Utd W

0.88 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham W

(Home)

13 Sept

Nottingham W

2 : 2

Watford W

06 Sept

Ipswich W

1 : 1

Nottingham W

02 May

Nottingham W

0 : 3

Southampton FC W

26 Apr

Portsmouth W

0 : 1

Nottingham W

05 Apr

Newcastle Utd W

1 : 1

Nottingham W

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Newcastle Utd W

(Away)

12 Sept

Bristol City W

0 : 1

Newcastle Utd W

06 Sept

Newcastle Utd W

2 : 0

Wolverhampton W

30 Aug

Newcastle Utd W

3 : 1

Burnley W

23 Aug

Valencia W

2 : 3

Newcastle Utd W

19 Aug

Manchester United W

0 : 1

Newcastle Utd W

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