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Nottingham W vs Newcastle Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 City Ground, Nottingham
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nottingham W host Newcastle Utd W in the WSL 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Newcastle Utd W have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Nottingham W have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Nottingham W slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.63, favoring Newcastle Utd W. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nottingham W
15%
Draws
39%
Newcastle Utd W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nottingham W haven't matched Newcastle Utd W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 14%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham W Newcastle Utd W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Nottingham W
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Women's League Cup
Nottingham W vs Newcastle Utd W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Newcastle Utd W vs Nottingham W
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Nottingham W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 31 / 100
Newcastle Utd W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham W Newcastle Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Newcastle Utd W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Nottingham W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham W VS Newcastle Utd W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham W

(Home)
18 Oct
Sheffield Utd W
1 : 0
Nottingham W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
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Newcastle Utd W

(Away)
21 Oct
Everton W
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd W
18 Oct
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Sunderland W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)