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Nottingham W vs Southampton FC W

England England

WSL 2 City Ground, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McAloine M.
Assist: Nicoll A.
26' Event
Collett M.
Assist: Brazil E.
46'
Sub
Omewa J. In: Claypole A.
Out: Omewa J.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Nottingham W and Southampton FC W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nottingham W
28%
Draws
50%
Southampton FC W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham W come out ahead of Southampton FC W on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Southampton FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham W Southampton FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Southampton FC W
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Nottingham W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Southampton FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer McAloine M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collett M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 24 / 100
Southampton FC W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham W Southampton FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nottingham W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Southampton FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Nottingham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham W VS Southampton FC W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham W

(Home)
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1
Nottingham W
05 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
29 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 1
Durham W
22 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Ipswich W
Page 1 of 6

Southampton FC W

(Away)
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Southampton FC W
2 : 2
Charlton W
03 Apr
Southampton FC W
5 : 2
Sheffield Utd W
28 Mar
Ipswich W
1 : 2
Southampton FC W
22 Mar
Durham W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham W22142646:2444
2Crystal Palace W22135444:2644
3Charlton W22126431:2142
4Bristol City W22114747:3137
5Southampton FC W22105744:2635
6Newcastle Utd W2289532:2533
7Nottingham W22931027:3530
8Sunderland W22661028:3524
9Ipswich W22651126:4223
10Durham W22571027:3522
11Sheffield Utd W22461221:4318
12Portsmouth W22421623:5314
Promotion - WSL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)