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Stadium Background

Notts County vs Salford

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Wembley Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Tsaroulla N.
32' Event
Jatta A.
Assist: Jones J.
44'
Mnoga H.

AI Match Summary

Notts County in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notts County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Notts County
22%
Draws
18%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salford lately — more wins on the board than Notts County.
  • Model gives Notts County a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Salford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Notts County Clean Sheet 68%
Salford Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County Salford
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 League Two
Notts County vs Salford
3:0
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Notts County
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Notts County vs Salford
1:2
Apr 11, 2025 League Two
Notts County vs Salford
1:3
Dec 14, 2024 League Two
Salford vs Notts County
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ness L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Salford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 68 / 100
Salford 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County Salford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Notts County's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Salford conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Notts County went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Salford
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Notts County1
Chesterfield0
Salford4
Grimsby3
Final
Notts County3
Salford0