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Stadium Background

Notts County vs Nottingham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Igor Jesus
46'
Sub
Baker M. In: Flint
Out: Baker M.
46'
Sub
Sels M. In: John Victor
Out: Sels M.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Notts County
35%
Draws
30%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Notts County haven't matched Nottingham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Notts County a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nottingham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Notts County Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County Nottingham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Nottingham
0:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Nottingham
0:1
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Nottingham
2:2
Jul 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Nottingham
0:2
Jul 23, 2016 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Nottingham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notts County Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Jesus
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalimuendo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 40 / 100
Nottingham 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notts County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notts County scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Nottingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Notts County has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Nottingham
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County

(Home)
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1
Burton
22 Aug
Luton
2 : 2
Notts County
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Nottingham

(Away)
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1
Leeds
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