Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notts County vs Salford

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Wembley Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Tsaroulla N.
32' Event
Jatta A.
Assist: Jones J.
44'
Mnoga H.

AI Match Summary

Notts County in this League Two 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Notts County
35%
Draws
30%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salford lately — more wins on the board than Notts County.
  • Model gives Notts County a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Salford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Salford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Notts County Clean Sheet 68%
Salford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County Salford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 League Two
Notts County vs Salford
3:0
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Notts County
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Notts County vs Salford
1:2
Apr 11, 2025 League Two
Notts County vs Salford
1:3
Dec 14, 2024 League Two
Salford vs Notts County
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ness L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Salford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 59 / 100
Salford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notts County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Notts County went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Notts County's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Salford conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Salford
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County

(Home)
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1
Burton
22 Aug
Luton
2 : 2
Notts County
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1
Leicester
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Salford
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1
Chesterfield
15 Aug
Barnet
3 : 1
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Notts County 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 4
Grimsby 3
Final
Notts County 3
Salford 0