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Nouadhibou vs Gendrim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Dembele K.
17' Event
Said M.
38' Event
Hattab C.

AI Match Summary

Nouadhibou in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nouadhibou
35%
Draws
32%
Gendrim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Gendrim haven't matched Nouadhibou's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Nouadhibou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nouadhibou have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouadhibou Gendrim
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.76 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Gendrim
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouadhibou
0:2
Feb 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouadhibou
0:3
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Gendrim
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouadhibou
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Said M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gendrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouadhibou 68 / 100
Gendrim 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouadhibou Gendrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouadhibou found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Gendrim conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Nouadhibou has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nouadhibou VS Gendrim
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouadhibou

(Home)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
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Gendrim

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)