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Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dembele K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nouadhibou in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Nouadhibou
20%
Draws
22%
Inter Nouakchott
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nouadhibou lately — more wins on the board than Inter Nouakchott.
  • Nouadhibou are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nouadhibou have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouadhibou Inter Nouakchott
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 10 8
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Nouadhibou
0:2
May 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Nouadhibou
0:2
Jan 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott
2:1
Mar 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouadhibou 85 / 100
Inter Nouakchott 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouadhibou Inter Nouakchott

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouadhibou's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Inter Nouakchott conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Nouadhibou stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nouadhibou VS Inter Nouakchott
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouadhibou

(Home)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
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Inter Nouakchott

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)