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Nouakchott Academy vs Gendrim

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mbodj C.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Demba E. H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nouakchott Academy and Gendrim finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nouakchott Academy
22%
Draws
18%
Gendrim
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nouakchott Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nouakchott Academy's 1 goals per match outpaces what Gendrim have produced (0.88).
  • Model gives Nouakchott Academy a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nouakchott Academy Clean Sheet 68%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott Academy Gendrim
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott Academy vs Gendrim
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouakchott Academy
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouakchott Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Demba E. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gendrim Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott Academy 68 / 100
Gendrim 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott Academy Gendrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Nouakchott Academy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Nouakchott Academy found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Gendrim conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott Academy VS Gendrim
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott Academy

(Home)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

Gendrim

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)