Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dembele K.
5' Event
Souleye F.
14' Event
Fodie T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nouakchott King's and Nouadhibou finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouakchott King's.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Nouakchott King's
20%
Draws
32%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Nouakchott King's haven't matched Nouadhibou's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nouakchott King's's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott King's Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou
3:2
Jan 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer Souleye F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fodie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hawbott M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott King's 50 / 100
Nouadhibou 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott King's Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott King's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouakchott King's's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nouakchott King's stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nouadhibou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott King's VS Nouadhibou
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott King's

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
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Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)