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Nova Cidade vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nova Cidade
33%
Draws
27%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Artsul at 1.13 per game, Nova Cidade at 0.63.
  • Nova Cidade are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 68%
Artsul Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Artsul
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Artsul
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Nova Cidade
1:1
Nov 18, 2020 Carioca 2
Nova Cidade vs Artsul
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 50 / 100
Artsul 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nova Cidade scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Artsul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Nova Cidade stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Artsul
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Artsul

(Away)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)