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Nova Cidade vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nova Cidade
35%
Draws
38%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Niteroiense have won more games recently than Nova Cidade.
  • Model gives Niteroiense a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 17%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Niteroiense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Niteroiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 15 / 100
Niteroiense 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Niteroiense conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Nova Cidade remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Niteroiense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
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Niteroiense

(Away)
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)