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Nova Cidade vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nova Cidade
40%
Draws
29%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Niteroiense have won more games recently than Nova Cidade.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 20%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Niteroiense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Niteroiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 32 / 100
Niteroiense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Niteroiense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Nova Cidade remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Niteroiense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Niteroiense

(Away)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)