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Nova Conquista vs Palmas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2021
Nova Conquista Logo

Nova Conquista

2 - 2
FT
Palmas Logo

Palmas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 game between Nova Conquista and Palmas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nova Conquista
20%
Draws
50%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Conquista haven't matched Palmas's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nova Conquista taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 20%
Palmas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Conquista Palmas
Matches Played 23 33
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Nova Conquista
1:1
Mar 10, 2021 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Palmas
2:2
Mar 8, 2020 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Palmas
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Conquista 42 / 100
Palmas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Conquista Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Nova Conquista's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Palmas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Nova Conquista stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmas
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Conquista

(Home)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
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Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 7 6 0 1 16:5 18
2 Tocantinopolis 7 4 1 2 15:5 13
3 Palmas 7 4 1 2 18:10 13
4 Araguacema 7 4 1 2 14:13 13
5 Nova Conquista 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
6 Tocantins 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
7 Capital FC 7 0 3 4 3:10 3
8 Gurupi 6 0 1 5 4:22 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 (Play Offs)