Sport Picks
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Madureira U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Carioca U20 
Match Events
7'
7'
45'
45'
Mineiro A.
50'
50'
Lima L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Carioca U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nova Iguacu U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Madureira U20 have won more games recently than Nova Iguacu U20.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Iguacu U20 | Madureira U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Madureira U20
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Madureira U20
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Iguacu U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Madureira U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mineiro A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lima L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nova Iguacu U20 41 / 100
Madureira U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nova Iguacu U20 Madureira U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nova Iguacu U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madureira U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Nova Iguacu U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Nova Iguacu U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nova Iguacu U20 VS Madureira U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Iguacu U20
(Home) 10 Oct
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 0 Volta Redonda U20
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1 Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2 Madureira U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2 Nova Iguacu U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1 Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 0 Volta Redonda U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2 Madureira U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0 Portuguesa RJ U20
21 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 1 Vasco U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3 Fluminense U20
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Madureira U20
(Away) 10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1 Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1 Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2 Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0 Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1 Madureira U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2 Madureira U20
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3 Madureira U20
29 Aug
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 1 Madureira U20
14 Aug
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 1 Madureira U20
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense U20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:7 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Vasco U20 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 6 | Bangu U20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu U20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 8 | Madureira U20 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Marica U20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 10 | Boavista U20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 11 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:16 | 5 |
| 12 | Volta Redonda U20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | 5 |
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
