Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Iguacu U20 vs Sampaio Correa U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Leal M.
41'
Leal M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nova Iguacu U20
39%
Draws
30%
Sampaio Correa U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Iguacu U20 have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Sampaio Correa U20 are scoring more at 1.57.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Sampaio Correa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Iguacu U20 Sampaio Correa U20
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Sampaio Correa U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Iguacu U20 31 / 100
Sampaio Correa U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Iguacu U20 Sampaio Correa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sampaio Correa U20 conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Nova Iguacu U20 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Nova Iguacu U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Iguacu U20 VS Sampaio Correa U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Iguacu U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Cabofriense U20
4 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
29 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa U20
25 Mar
Marica U20
1 : 3
Nova Iguacu U20
21 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
18 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 0
Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 6

Sampaio Correa U20

(Away)
05 Apr
Sampaio Correa U20
2 : 1
Madureira U20
29 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa U20
25 Mar
Cabofriense U20
2 : 1
Sampaio Correa U20
21 Mar
Sampaio Correa U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
18 Mar
Vasco U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)