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Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
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Match Events

13' Event
47' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Nova Iguacu U20 and Vasco U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Iguacu U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nova Iguacu U20
30%
Draws
47%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Nova Iguacu U20 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vasco U20 taking it.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vasco U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Iguacu U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 7 28
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.98
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Aug 4, 2025 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Mar 27, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Iguacu U20 10 / 100
Vasco U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Iguacu U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Iguacu U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Nova Iguacu U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Vasco U20 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 42 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nova Iguacu U20 VS Vasco U20
0.88 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Iguacu U20

(Home)
17 Oct
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 0
Nova Iguacu U20
10 Oct
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 0
Volta Redonda U20
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 6

Vasco U20

(Away)
17 Oct
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
11 Oct
Vasco U20
4 : 0
Flamengo RJ U20
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 11 9 2 0 30:8 29
2 Vasco U20 11 9 1 1 24:6 28
3 Flamengo RJ U20 11 9 0 2 28:12 27
4 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:15 19
5 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
6 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 4 3 4 13:21 15
7 Madureira U20 11 1 8 2 13:16 11
8 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 4 5 11:18 10
9 Boavista U20 11 2 2 7 13:23 8
10 Marica U20 11 2 2 7 11:21 8
11 Volta Redonda U20 11 2 2 7 9:20 8
12 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)