Sport Picks
Nova Iguacu vs America RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 
Match Events
62'
62'
Lua Lucio
(Penalty)
76'
76'
Xandinho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- America RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
- Nova Iguacu are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- America RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%
America RJ Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Iguacu | America RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs America RJ
1:1
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Nova Iguacu
0:1
Feb 10, 2021 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs America RJ
1:0
Jan 23, 2021 Carioca
America RJ vs Nova Iguacu
1:1
Jul 4, 2020 Carioca
America RJ vs Nova Iguacu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Iguacu Compare
Top Goalscorer Xandinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
America RJ Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nova Iguacu 42 / 100
America RJ 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nova Iguacu America RJ
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Iguacu found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).
America RJ has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Nova Iguacu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nova Iguacu VS America RJ
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Iguacu
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
07 Jun
Nova Iguacu
1 : 0 Piracicaba
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America RJ
(Away) 22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1 America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0 Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0 Serrano FC
Page 1 of 7
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1 America RJ
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2 America RJ
27 Jun
Piracicaba
2 : 0 America RJ
17 Jun
Goytacaz
: America RJ
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
