Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nova Iguacu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nova Iguacu come out ahead of Olaria on wins alone.
- Nova Iguacu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Nova Iguacu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 68%
Olaria Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Iguacu | Olaria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Olaria
0:0
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Nova Iguacu
0:1
Aug 13, 2025 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Olaria
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Nova Iguacu
0:0
Sep 20, 2023 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Olaria
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nova Iguacu 59 / 100
Olaria 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nova Iguacu Olaria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nova Iguacu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nova Iguacu scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Nova Iguacu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Olaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Nova Iguacu VS Olaria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Iguacu
(Home) 19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
07 Jun
Nova Iguacu
1 : 0 Piracicaba
Page 1 of 4
Olaria
(Away) 12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1 Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0 Olaria
17 Jun
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2 Olaria
06 Jun
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Olaria
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 1
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
