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Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Santa Cruz MT U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Matogrossense U20 2024
Nova Mutum EC U20 Logo

Nova Mutum EC U20

3 - 1
FT
Santa Cruz MT U20 Logo

Santa Cruz MT U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense U20 2024 game between Nova Mutum EC U20 and Santa Cruz MT U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Mutum EC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nova Mutum EC U20
30%
Draws
23%
Santa Cruz MT U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nova Mutum EC U20 come out ahead of Santa Cruz MT U20 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nova Mutum EC U20 taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz MT U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Mutum EC U20 Santa Cruz MT U20
Matches Played 24 18
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 3.29 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Santa Cruz MT U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Santa Cruz MT U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Mutum EC U20 85 / 100
Santa Cruz MT U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Mutum EC U20 Santa Cruz MT U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Mutum EC U20's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Santa Cruz MT U20 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nova Mutum EC U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Mutum EC U20 VS Santa Cruz MT U20
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Mutum EC U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
30 Aug
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Aug
Nova Mutum EC U20
4 : 0
Campo Novo U20
17 Aug
Campo Novo U20
0 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
12 Aug
Luverdense U20
0 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
Page 1 of 5

Santa Cruz MT U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Uirapuru U20
4 : 0
Santa Cruz MT U20
11 Jul
Santa Cruz MT U20
0 : 4
Uirapuru U20
04 Jul
Campo Novo U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz MT U20
21 Jun
Santa Cruz MT U20
0 : 3
Cacerense U20
17 Jun
Santa Cruz MT U20
1 : 1
Campo Novo U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dom Bosco U20 6 4 2 0 14:7 14
2 Academia U20 6 3 2 1 14:10 11
3 Uniao Rondonopolis U20 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
4 Rondonopolis EC U20 6 0 0 6 8:22 0
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba U20 6 6 0 0 27:0 18
2 Acao U20 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
3 Mixto U20 6 1 3 2 6:13 6
4 Várzea Grande EC U20 6 0 2 4 4:21 2
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC U20 6 6 0 0 40:4 18
2 Caceres U20 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Santa Cruz MT U20 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
4 Campo Novo U20 6 1 0 5 4:40 3
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense U20 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 Sinop FC U20 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Juara U20 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
4 Sport Sinop U20 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)