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Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Sorriso EC U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Matogrossense U20 2025
Nova Mutum EC U20 Logo

Nova Mutum EC U20

3 - 0
FT
Sorriso EC U20 Logo

Sorriso EC U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nova Mutum EC U20 in this Matogrossense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Mutum EC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nova Mutum EC U20
30%
Draws
23%
Sorriso EC U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 have won more games recently than Sorriso EC U20.
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Matogrossense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sorriso EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Mutum EC U20 Sorriso EC U20
Matches Played 24 15
Wins 16 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3.29 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Sorriso EC U20
3:0
Jul 23, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Sorriso EC U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Mutum EC U20 85 / 100
Sorriso EC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Mutum EC U20 Sorriso EC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorriso EC U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 15 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Nova Mutum EC U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (24 games).

Nova Mutum EC U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Mutum EC U20 VS Sorriso EC U20
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Mutum EC U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
30 Aug
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Aug
Nova Mutum EC U20
4 : 0
Campo Novo U20
17 Aug
Campo Novo U20
0 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
12 Aug
Luverdense U20
0 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
Page 1 of 5

Sorriso EC U20

(Away)
27 Jul
Sorriso EC U20
0 : 2
Levante U20
23 Jul
Morocco U20
1 : 0
Sorriso EC U20
21 Jul
Sorriso EC U20
0 : 0
Sevilla U20
06 Jul
Luverdense U20
4 : 1
Sorriso EC U20
27 Jun
Sorriso EC U20
2 : 1
Gremio Sorriso U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC U20 6 4 2 0 13:1 14
2 Luverdense U20 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
3 Sport Sinop U20 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Sorriso EC U20 6 0 0 6 2:21 0
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz MT U20 4 2 1 1 5:9 7
2 Campo Novo U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Dom Bosco U20 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto U20 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapada U20 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
3 Acao U20 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
4 Uirapuru U20 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba U20 6 5 1 0 32:3 16
2 Uniao Rondonopolis U20 6 4 0 2 9:6 12
3 Academia U20 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
4 SE Vila Aurora U20 6 1 0 5 5:31 3
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)