Sport Picks
Nova Mutum EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Matogrossense 2025 Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons, Nova Mutum 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gabriel Mury
34'
34'
David
39'
39'
Vini
AI Match Summary
Nova Mutum EC in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Mutum EC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Mutum EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Uniao Rondonopolis haven't matched Nova Mutum EC's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Uniao Rondonopolis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nova Mutum EC Clean Sheet 19%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Mutum EC | Uniao Rondonopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2026 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Nova Mutum EC
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Nova Mutum EC
2:1
Feb 13, 2022 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Mutum EC Compare
Top Goalscorer David
1 Goals Assists Leader Caue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99
Uniao Rondonopolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Santana
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nova Mutum EC 31 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nova Mutum EC Uniao Rondonopolis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Mutum EC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Uniao Rondonopolis has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Nova Mutum EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nova Mutum EC VS Uniao Rondonopolis
2.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Mutum EC
(Home) 11 Feb
Operario VG
3 : 2 Nova Mutum EC
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1 Mixto
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Nova Mutum EC
31 Jan
Cuiaba
2 : 1 Nova Mutum EC
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2 Chapada
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1 Mixto
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2 Chapada
18 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
0 : 0 Luverdense
10 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
1 : 1 Sport Sinop
01 Mar
Nova Mutum EC
1 : 0 Primavera AC
Page 1 of 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
(Away) 27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0 Chapada
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Uniao Rondonopolis
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2 Mixto
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3 Uniao Rondonopolis
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2 Uniao Rondonopolis
02 May
Goiatuba EC
5 : 1 Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mixto | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Cuiaba | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 | Primavera AC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Nova Mutum EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 10 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Luverdense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Sport Sinop | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Academia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 10 | Caceres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)
