Sport Picks
Nova Mutum EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
Brazil
Matogrossense 2025 Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons 
AI Match Summary
Nova Mutum EC play Uniao Rondonopolis in the Matogrossense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nova Mutum EC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Uniao Rondonopolis averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Nova Mutum EC won 1, Uniao Rondonopolis won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Nova Mutum EC and 1.44 for Uniao Rondonopolis. This points to a Nova Mutum EC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nova Mutum EC picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Rondonopolis.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Mutum EC | Uniao Rondonopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Mutum EC Compare
Uniao Rondonopolis Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Mutum EC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Uniao Rondonopolis let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Nova Mutum EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Uniao Rondonopolis lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mixto | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Cuiaba | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 | Primavera AC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Nova Mutum EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 10 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Luverdense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Sport Sinop | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Academia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 10 | Caceres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |