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Nova Prata vs EC Novo Horizonte

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Prata host EC Novo Horizonte in the Gaucho 3. Nova Prata go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Nova Prata at 1 goals for, 0.88 against; EC Novo Horizonte at 0.13 for, 2.88 against. Past meetings favor Nova Prata slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.94 - 0.51) back Nova Prata to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nova Prata
6%
Draws
4%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nova Prata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nova Prata have won more games recently than EC Novo Horizonte.
  • Nova Prata are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Nova Prata Clean Sheet 20%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Prata EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 2 0
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Gaucho 3
Nova Prata vs EC Novo Horizonte
3:0
Oct 22, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Novo Horizonte vs Nova Prata
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Prata 85 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Prata EC Novo Horizonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Novo Horizonte conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

EC Novo Horizonte lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Nova Prata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nova Prata VS EC Novo Horizonte
1 Goals Scored 0.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Guarani880025:324
2Apafut842218:1016
3Clube 199281438:149
4Nova Prata822410:128
5EC Novo Horizonte80261:230
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Sao Paulo651011:116
2SC Rio Grande63036:69
3Riograndense622211:38
4Sao Gabriel60152:201