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Nova Prata vs EC Novo Horizonte Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2025
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Prata host EC Novo Horizonte in the Gaucho 3 2025. Nova Prata go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Nova Prata at 1.1 goals for, 2.24 against; EC Novo Horizonte at 0.33 for, 2.67 against. Past meetings favor Nova Prata slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.06 - 0.81) back Nova Prata to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nova Prata
15%
Draws
26%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Prata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Prata have won more games recently than EC Novo Horizonte.
  • Nova Prata are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nova Prata Clean Sheet 20%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Prata EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.1 0.33
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Gaucho 3
Nova Prata vs EC Novo Horizonte
3:0
Oct 22, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Novo Horizonte vs Nova Prata
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Prata 76 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Prata EC Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Prata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Novo Horizonte conceded in 92% of 12 recent games.

Nova Prata scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Nova Prata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nova Prata VS EC Novo Horizonte
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Prata

(Home)
16 Nov
Apafut
5 : 2
Nova Prata
09 Nov
Nova Prata
2 : 2
Clube 1992
02 Nov
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Nova Prata
26 Oct
Nova Prata
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
22 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
Nova Prata
Page 1 of 6

EC Novo Horizonte

(Away)
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
16 Nov
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Guarani 8 8 0 0 25:3 24
2 Apafut 8 4 2 2 18:10 16
3 Clube 1992 8 1 4 3 8:14 9
4 Nova Prata 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
5 EC Novo Horizonte 8 0 2 6 1:23 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 SC Rio Grande 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
3 Riograndense 6 2 2 2 11:3 8
4 Sao Gabriel 6 0 1 5 2:20 1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)