Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Venecia U20 vs SAO Mateus U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Venecia U20 in this Capixaba U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Venecia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nova Venecia U20
30%
Draws
35%
SAO Mateus U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nova Venecia U20 lately — more wins on the board than SAO Mateus U20.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Nova Venecia U20 taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nova Venecia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
SAO Mateus U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Venecia U20 SAO Mateus U20
Matches Played 15 8
Wins 8 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.4 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Capixaba U20
SAO Mateus U20 vs Nova Venecia U20
2:7
Mar 10, 2024 Capixaba U20
Nova Venecia U20 vs SAO Mateus U20
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Venecia U20 84 / 100
SAO Mateus U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Venecia U20 SAO Mateus U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Venecia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Venecia U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (15 games).

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

SAO Mateus U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 8 matches.

Nova Venecia U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nova Venecia U20 VS SAO Mateus U20
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Venecia U20

(Home)
11 May
Nova Venecia U20
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
03 May
Rio Branco ES U20
4 : 2
Nova Venecia U20
27 Apr
Nova Venecia U20
2 : 2
Capixaba SC U20
21 Apr
Capixaba SC U20
3 : 3
Nova Venecia U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
Page 1 of 3

SAO Mateus U20

(Away)
13 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 3
SAO Mateus U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
30 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 0
SAO Mateus U20
24 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 3
Real Noroeste U20
17 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
3 : 0
CTE Colatina U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Venecia U20 8 7 1 0 28:8 22
2 Real Noroeste U20 8 5 2 1 22:7 17
3 Jaguare U20 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 SAO Mateus U20 8 2 0 6 10:22 6
5 CTE Colatina U20 8 0 0 8 3:31 0
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES U20 6 4 2 0 14:6 14
2 Capixaba SC U20 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Serra U20 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
4 Sport-ES U20 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria U20 6 4 2 0 25:4 14
2 Rio Branco ES U20 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 G.E.L. U20 6 1 0 5 5:25 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilavelhense U20 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Estrela do Norte U20 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Forte U20 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Rio Branco-VN U20 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)