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Novaci vs Pelister

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novaci host Pelister in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Novaci have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Pelister's 1.3 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Novaci have won 0 to Pelister's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 30, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.63) point toward Novaci. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Novaci
15%
Draws
51%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novaci come out ahead of Pelister on wins alone.
  • Model gives Novaci a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Novaci Clean Sheet 14%
Pelister Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaci Pelister
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Novaci vs Pelister
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Novaci
4:0
Jan 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Novaci vs Pelister
0:0
Aug 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Novaci
4:3
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Novaci
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaci 84 / 100
Pelister 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaci Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Novaci found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Pelister has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Away concern: Pelister has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novaci VS Pelister
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaci

(Home)
25 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 0
Novaci
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
23 May
Novaci
3 : 3
Osogovo
16 May
Shkendija Haracine
5 : 1
Novaci
10 May
Novaci
1 : 0
Belasica Strumica
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Pelister

(Away)
08 Aug
Pogradeci
4 : 2
Pelister
01 Aug
Shkendija Haracine
0 : 1
Pelister
18 Jul
Pelister
0 : 8
Panionios
31 May
Pelister
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
24 May
Pelister
1 : 0
Bashkimi
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