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Pogradeci vs Pelister

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pogradeci and Pelister finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pogradeci
20%
Draws
40%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pelister haven't matched Pogradeci's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Pogradeci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 13%
Pelister Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Pelister
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogradeci vs Pelister
4:2
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Pogradeci
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 84 / 100
Pelister 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pogradeci scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Pelister let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Pogradeci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Pelister
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
31 Jul
Pogradeci
0 : 2
Partizani
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 May
Teuta
1 : 0
Pogradeci
11 May
Pogradeci
1 : 0
Besa Kavaje
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
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Pelister

(Away)
01 Aug
Shkendija Haracine
0 : 1
Pelister
18 Jul
Pelister
0 : 8
Panionios
31 May
Pelister
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
24 May
Pelister
1 : 0
Bashkimi
16 May
Tikves
2 : 2
Pelister
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