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Novara U19 vs Parma U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Primavera 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2017/2018 game between Novara U19 and Parma U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novara U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Novara U19
15%
Draws
36%
Parma U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Parma U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Novara U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Parma U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novara U19 Parma U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.2 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2018 Primavera 2
Novara U19 vs Parma U19
3:1
Nov 25, 2017 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Novara U19
1:3
Mar 29, 2014 Primavera - Group A
Parma U19 vs Novara U19
0:1
Nov 23, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Novara U19 vs Parma U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novara U19 30 / 100
Parma U19 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novara U19 Parma U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novara U19 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Parma U19 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Novara U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parma U19
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novara U19

(Home)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 6

Parma U19

(Away)
20 May
Parma U19
2 : 3
Frosinone U19
10 May
Renate U19
1 : 0
Parma U19
03 May
Parma U19
2 : 1
Reggiana U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
19 Apr
Parma U19
4 : 1
FeralpiSalo U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novara U19 24 15 6 3 54:28 51
2 Empoli U19 24 13 6 5 37:21 45
3 Cesena U19 24 12 8 4 48:29 44
4 Spezia U19 24 11 5 8 46:34 38
5 Spal U19 24 9 10 5 25:21 37
6 Venezia U19 24 10 5 9 43:41 35
7 Cremonese U19 24 9 7 8 38:30 34
8 Pro Vercelli U19 24 9 6 9 34:38 33
9 Entella U19 24 8 6 10 35:36 30
10 Cittadella U19 24 8 5 11 26:43 29
11 Brescia U19 24 7 5 12 28:40 26
12 Parma U19 24 4 5 15 22:50 17
13 Carpi U19 24 1 6 17 16:41 9
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo U19 24 12 9 3 50:23 45
2 Cagliari U19 24 13 5 6 46:23 44
3 Ascoli U19 24 12 6 6 50:34 42
4 Bari U19 24 12 6 6 47:33 42
5 Crotone U19 24 11 5 8 44:30 38
6 Pescara U19 24 10 7 7 44:34 37
7 Perugia U19 24 11 4 9 39:32 37
8 Frosinone U19 24 9 7 8 31:31 34
9 Ternana U19 24 9 5 10 34:30 32
10 Foggia U19 24 7 7 10 38:39 28
11 Benevento U19 24 6 9 9 28:42 27
12 Salernitana U19 24 8 2 14 26:44 26
13 Avellino U19 24 0 0 24 22:104 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)