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Novara U19 vs Siena U19

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Primavera - Group A 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2013/2014 game between Novara U19 and Siena U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novara U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Novara U19
15%
Draws
17%
Siena U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novara U19 come out ahead of Siena U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Novara U19 a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera - Group A 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Siena U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novara U19 Siena U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2014 Primavera - Group A
Novara U19 vs Siena U19
2:0
Sep 21, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Siena U19 vs Novara U19
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novara U19 85 / 100
Siena U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novara U19 Siena U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novara U19 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Siena U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Novara U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novara U19 VS Siena U19
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novara U19

(Home)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 7

Siena U19

(Away)
24 Mar
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Siena U19
22 Mar
Serie D team U19
1 : 0
Siena U19
19 Mar
Garden City U19
0 : 3
Siena U19
17 Mar
Atalanta U19
2 : 0
Siena U19
03 May
Cesena U19
1 : 0
Siena U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torino U19 26 19 6 1 54:21 63
2 Juventus U19 26 15 3 8 54:36 48
3 Novara U19 26 15 3 8 45:43 48
4 Empoli U19 26 13 8 5 50:24 47
5 Sampdoria U19 26 13 6 7 44:23 45
6 Parma U19 26 11 6 9 38:27 39
7 Bologna U19 26 10 8 8 31:28 38
8 Sassuolo U19 26 10 5 11 44:36 35
9 Spezia U19 26 9 7 10 32:37 34
10 Cesena U19 26 7 6 13 33:45 27
11 Genoa U19 26 6 7 13 25:35 25
12 Siena U19 26 5 6 15 28:52 21
13 Carpi U19 26 5 6 15 24:50 21
14 Modena U19 26 3 5 18 20:65 14
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2013/2014 (Qualification)