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NovaRomentin vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Longhi A.
80' Event
Sansone G.
86' Event
Poesio C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between NovaRomentin and Alba finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NovaRomentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
NovaRomentin
15%
Draws
85%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alba haven't matched NovaRomentin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alba a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 16%
Alba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Alba
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Alba
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs NovaRomentin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Longhi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sansone G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Alba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Alba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alba conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

NovaRomentin found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (38 games).

Difficult form: Alba registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 8

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)