Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 22, 2025
2 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bignoli L.
25' Event
Bertelegni T.
60' Event
Mancini L.

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Coppa Italia Serie D tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NovaRomentin
6%
Draws
90%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asti Calcio lately — more wins on the board than NovaRomentin.
  • Win probability leans Asti Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Asti Calcio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Asti Calcio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
0:2
May 3, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
5:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bignoli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertelegni T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soplantai V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Asti Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Asti Calcio conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

NovaRomentin scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Asti Calcio lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS Asti Calcio
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 6

Asti Calcio

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0