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Stadium Background

NovaRomentin vs Borgaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gozzo L.
24' Event
Estrella Galeazzi F.
33' Event
Zunino M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between NovaRomentin and Borgaro finished 8-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NovaRomentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
NovaRomentin
15%
Draws
85%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Borgaro haven't matched NovaRomentin's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Borgaro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 16%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Borgaro
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.22 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Borgaro
8:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs NovaRomentin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrella Galeazzi F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rizzo A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassetta L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Borgaro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Borgaro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

NovaRomentin found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 8

Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)