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NovaRomentin vs Fossano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bugno A.
48' Event
Sacca M.
54' Event
Sacca M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between NovaRomentin and Fossano finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NovaRomentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
NovaRomentin
15%
Draws
85%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fossano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NovaRomentin come out ahead of Fossano on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Fossano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 16%
Fossano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Fossano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Fossano
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs NovaRomentin
0:4
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs NovaRomentin
2:2
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs NovaRomentin
4:1
Oct 16, 2021 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Fossano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacca M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bugno A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Fossano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fossano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Fossano's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

NovaRomentin found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)