Sport Picks
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Valenti A.
65'
65'
Conti G.
81'
81'
Gandolfo L.
AI Match Summary
Imperia Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imperia Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imperia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Imperia Calcio lately — more wins on the board than NovaRomentin.
- Win probability leans Imperia Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NovaRomentin | Imperia Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.55 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs NovaRomentin
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs NovaRomentin
1:2
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
NovaRomentin Compare
Top Goalscorer Valenti A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Imperia Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Conti G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gandolfo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Imperia Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NovaRomentin Imperia Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Imperia Calcio let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Imperia Calcio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: NovaRomentin scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
NovaRomentin VS Imperia Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
NovaRomentin
(Home) 03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5 Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1 NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2 Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5 Vado
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2 Imperia Calcio
28 Mar
NovaRomentin
0 : 3 Derthona FbC
15 Mar
NovaRomentin
2 : 3 Sanremese
22 Feb
NovaRomentin
3 : 1 Varese FC
Page 1 of 4
Imperia Calcio
(Away) 16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0 Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0 Imperia Calcio
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2 Imperia Calcio
29 Mar
Cairese
2 : 0 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
