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NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Valenti A.
65' Event
Conti G.
81' Event
Gandolfo L.

AI Match Summary

Imperia Calcio in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NovaRomentin
6%
Draws
90%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imperia Calcio lately — more wins on the board than NovaRomentin.
  • Win probability leans Imperia Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs NovaRomentin
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs NovaRomentin
1:2
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Imperia Calcio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Conti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gandolfo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Imperia Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

NovaRomentin found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Imperia Calcio registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS Imperia Calcio
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 7

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)