Sport Picks

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Novaya Pripyat vs Torpedo Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Torpedo Mogilev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Novaya Pripyat
11%
Draws
80%
Torpedo Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Torpedo Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torpedo Mogilev come out ahead of Novaya Pripyat on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Torpedo Mogilev's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Torpedo Mogilev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Torpedo Mogilev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Novaya Pripyat Clean Sheet 10%
Torpedo Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaya Pripyat Torpedo Mogilev
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2016 Belarusian Cup
Novaya Pripyat vs Torpedo Mogilev
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaya Pripyat 10 / 100
Torpedo Mogilev 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaya Pripyat Torpedo Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Torpedo Mogilev conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Torpedo Mogilev registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Novaya Pripyat's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Novaya Pripyat VS Torpedo Mogilev
1.17 Goals Scored 1
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaya Pripyat

(Home)
30 May
Novaya Pripyat
1 : 3
Krumkachy
24 May
Novaya Pripyat
2 : 11
ML Vitebsk
06 Jun
Novaya Pripyat
0 : 3
Volna Pinsk
13 Jun
Novaya Pripyat
0 : 8
Belshina
13 May
Novaya Pripyat
4 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 2

Torpedo Mogilev

(Away)
14 Sept
Torpedo Mogilev
0 : 4
BATE
12 Jun
Novaya Pripyat
0 : 1
Torpedo Mogilev
24 May
Gazovik Vitebsk
5 : 3
Torpedo Mogilev
06 Nov
Torpedo Mogilev
0 : 3
Smena Minsk
29 Oct
Kommunalnik Slonim
2 : 0
Torpedo Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Slutsk-
TBD-
FK Kletsk1
Chimik Svetlogorsk5
Mikashevichi-
TBD-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka0
Smorgon5
Vitebsk-
TBD-
Montazhnik Mozyr2
FK Smolevichi3
Volna Pinsk5
Gorki1
TBD-
Zhodino-
Lokomotiv Gomel2
Osipovichi1
TBD-
Krumkachy-
Torpedo Minsk4
Dyussh-DSK0
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Neman-
TBD-
Oshmyany1
FK Neman Agro2
FK Lida1
Underdog Chist0
TBD-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
Dynamo Brest-
TBD-
Sdiusor0
FC Slonim7
Senno3
Luch Minsk0
TBD-
Naftan-
FK Gorodeja-
TBD-
TBD-
SKA-1938 Minsk-
FC Gomel2
Molodechno0
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
FC Minsk-
TBD-
JUA-Stroj Zhitkovichi0
Orsha7
Belshina-
TBD-
ML Vitebsk2
FK Baranovici7
Isloch Minsk-
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev1
Vertical Kalinkovichi2
Torpedo Mogilev1
Novaya Pripyat0
TBD-
BATE-
1/16-finals
Slutsk4
Chimik Svetlogorsk0
Mikashevichi0
Smorgon3
Vitebsk1
FK Smolevichi0
Volna Pinsk0
Zhodino4
Lokomotiv Gomel2
Krumkachy1
Torpedo Minsk0
Slavia Mozyr2
Neman5
FK Neman Agro0
FK Lida0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk2
Dynamo Brest2
FC Slonim0
Senno0
Naftan1
FK Gorodeja1
SKA-1938 Minsk0
FC Gomel0
Din. Minsk1
FC Minsk4
Orsha0
Belshina2
FK Baranovici3
Isloch Minsk6
Vertical Kalinkovichi1
Torpedo Mogilev0
BATE4
1/8-finals
Slutsk3
Smorgon0
Vitebsk1
Zhodino2
Lokomotiv Gomel1
Slavia Mozyr0
Neman1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk2
Dynamo Brest2
Naftan1
FK Gorodeja0
Din. Minsk1
FC Minsk3
FK Baranovici2
Isloch Minsk2
BATE4
Quarter-finals
Slutsk2
Zhodino1
Lokomotiv Gomel1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk5
Dynamo Brest2
Din. Minsk2
FC Minsk1
BATE3
Semi-finals
Slutsk2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk3
Dynamo Brest2
BATE1
Final
Shakhtyor Soligorsk1
Dynamo Brest2