Sport Picks

Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Stadium Nove Mesto

Nove Mesto na Morave

1 - 1

Trinec

Our Tip

Match Events

Dedic R.

56'

Sub

Kowalczyk T. In: Nguyen A.

Out: Kowalczyk T.

62'

Sub

Samiec M. In: Zinhasovic N.

Out: Samiec M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL 2025/2026 game between Nove Mesto na Morave and Trinec finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Nove Mesto na Morave

20%

Draws

38%

Trinec

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nove Mesto na Morave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Trinec carry the better recent record into this one.
Nove Mesto na Morave are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 10%

Trinec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nove Mesto na Morave	Trinec
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	14	17
Draws	5	5
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	1.71	2.13
Goals Conceded	2.14	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.71	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.14	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 3. MSFL

Nove Mesto na Morave vs Trinec

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sep 27, 2025 3. MSFL

Trinec vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Novotny J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.32

Avg xA / game 0.85

Trinec Compare

Top Goalscorer Dedic R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Mesto na Morave 40 / 100

Trinec 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nove Mesto na Morave Trinec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Nove Mesto na Morave's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Trinec's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Trinec has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nove Mesto na Morave VS Trinec

1.71 Goals Scored 2.13

2.14 Goals Conceded 1.38

71% Over 1.5 88%

71% Over 2.5 63%

57% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trinec	34	23	7	4	75:27	76
2	Hodonin	34	21	7	6	77:39	70
3	Unicov	34	18	10	6	55:41	64
4	Brno B	34	20	4	10	70:47	64
5	Sigma Olomouc B	34	19	5	10	71:33	62
6	FK Frydek-Mistek	34	16	11	7	54:39	59
7	Nove Mesto na Morave	34	16	7	11	64:51	55
8	Hlubina	34	13	9	12	53:49	48
9	Vsetin	34	13	6	15	52:54	45
10	Vitkovice	34	12	7	15	51:56	43
11	Zlin B	34	11	10	13	57:64	43
12	Slovacko B	34	9	11	14	49:59	38
13	Polanka nad Odrou	34	9	8	17	37:62	35
14	FK Blansko	34	10	3	21	47:79	33
15	Karvina B	34	8	8	18	40:60	32
16	SK Hranice	34	7	9	18	38:61	30
17	Hlucin	34	7	7	20	41:73	28
18	TJ Start Brno	34	4	11	19	32:69	23