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Stadium Background

Nove Mesto na Morave vs Unicov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL Stadium Nove Mesto, Nove Mesto na Morave
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Duda P.
Own Goal
28' Event
Ambrozek J.
(Penalty)
28'
Duda P.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL game between Nove Mesto na Morave and Unicov finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unicov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Nove Mesto na Morave
30%
Draws
51%
Unicov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Unicov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Unicov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Unicov a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 12%
Unicov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nove Mesto na Morave Unicov
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.68 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Unicov
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Unicov
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 3. MSFL
Unicov vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:1
Mar 26, 2023 3. MSFL
Unicov vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:0
Aug 27, 2022 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Unicov
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Unicov Compare

Top Goalscorer Komenda T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nove Mesto na Morave 11 / 100
Unicov 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nove Mesto na Morave Unicov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unicov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nove Mesto na Morave's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Unicov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nove Mesto na Morave went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nove Mesto na Morave VS Unicov
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nove Mesto na Morave

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
26 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
3 : 2
Hlubina
19 Sept
Vsetin
2 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
12 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 3
Brno B
05 Sept
SK Hranice
1 : 0
Nove Mesto na Morave
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Unicov

(Away)
04 Oct
Unicov
3 : 1
Polanka nad Odrou
27 Sept
Havirov
0 : 2
Unicov
20 Sept
Unicov
4 : 3
Uhersky Brod
13 Sept
Unicov
1 : 1
Sigma Olomouc B
05 Sept
FK Frydek-Mistek
1 : 1
Unicov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artis Brno B 11 7 4 0 20:4 25
2 Brno B 11 7 2 2 24:16 23
3 Unicov 11 7 2 2 22:14 23
4 FK Frydek-Mistek 11 6 3 2 19:10 21
5 Sigma Olomouc B 11 6 1 4 20:13 19
6 SK Hranice 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
7 Vitkovice 11 4 4 3 12:9 16
8 Hlubina 11 4 3 4 26:22 15
9 Slovacko B 11 4 3 4 16:12 15
10 Uhersky Brod 11 4 3 4 18:18 15
11 Zlin B 11 4 3 4 13:16 15
12 Hodonin 11 4 2 5 14:13 14
13 Nove Mesto na Morave 11 4 2 5 13:20 14
14 Karvina B 11 3 2 6 15:21 11
15 Vsetin 11 3 1 7 11:24 10
16 FK Blansko 11 1 5 5 16:28 8
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
18 Havirov 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
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