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Novelda CF vs Crevillente

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Novelda CF and Crevillente finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crevillente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novelda CF
40%
Draws
29%
Crevillente
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crevillente come out ahead of Novelda CF on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 19%
Crevillente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Crevillente
Matches Played 28 38
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Crevillente
0:1
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Crevillente vs Novelda CF
1:0
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Crevillente vs Novelda CF
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Crevillente
0:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Crevillente vs Novelda CF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 32 / 100
Crevillente 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Crevillente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novelda CF scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Crevillente let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

Crevillente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crevillente
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 6

Crevillente

(Away)
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Recambios Colon
1 : 2
Crevillente
26 Apr
Crevillente
2 : 4
Torrellano
18 Apr
Levante B
4 : 1
Crevillente
12 Apr
Crevillente
2 : 3
Atzeneta
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alzira20108229:1238
2Roda2098328:1635
3Atletico Saguntino20710330:2731
4Villarreal C20612232:1830
5Silla CF20510520:2125
6Recambios Colon2058716:1923
7Benicarlo20410622:2122
8Torrent2049717:2521
9Acero2048818:2520
10Paterna20311614:2520
11Vilamarxant20361113:3015
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense18125130:1141
2Ilicitano18115233:1738
3CF Intercity18107130:837
4Olimpic Xativa1874722:2425
5UD Beniganim1855814:3020
6Jove1854917:2319
7Crevillente1854917:2419
8Hercules B1846813:1718
9Villajoyosa1845917:2717
10Novelda CF18331215:2712
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)