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Novelda CF vs UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011 game between Novelda CF and UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Novelda CF
33%
Draws
40%
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Novelda CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Novelda CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo vs Novelda CF
1:3
Dec 14, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
1:0
Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
3:0
Dec 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo vs Novelda CF
1:2
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 28 / 100
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Novelda CF's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

(Away)
12 May
Jove
3 : 2
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
05 May
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
1 : 3
Novelda CF
29 Apr
La Nucia
3 : 1
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
22 Apr
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
8 : 0
UD Altea
15 Apr
Alicante
1 : 0
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valencia B382511283:2886
2Olimpic Xativa382110752:3073
3Novelda CF382081062:4668
4La Nucia381812848:3566
5Borriol381991061:3566
6Villarreal C381971275:5364
7Crevillente381591443:4354
8Catarroja CF3813111435:3250
9Torrellano Illice CF381481652:4450
10UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo3812111539:4347
11Atletico Saguntino381371841:5346
12Mislata3812101637:5246
13Jove3811121544:4745
14Eldense381291731:3945
15Ribarroja3811121534:5445
16Torrevieja381271931:4243
17Levante B3811101730:4743
18Burjassot3810101841:5240
19Villajoyosa389101937:5937
20UD Puzol38792233:7530
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)