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Novese vs Borgomanero

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2014/2015
Novese Logo

Novese

1 - 1
FT
Borgomanero Logo

Borgomanero

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 game between Novese and Borgomanero finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Novese
15%
Draws
85%
Borgomanero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgomanero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Borgomanero's 0.73 goals per match outpaces what Novese have produced (0.45).
  • Model gives Borgomanero a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Novese Clean Sheet 14%
Borgomanero Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novese Borgomanero
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 2 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0.45 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.74 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Borgomanero
1:1
Sep 28, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Borgomanero vs Novese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novese 10 / 100
Borgomanero 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novese Borgomanero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgomanero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgomanero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Borgomanero has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Novese scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Novese VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novese

(Home)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
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Borgomanero

(Away)
10 May
Vado
5 : 2
Borgomanero
03 May
Borgomanero
1 : 4
Asti Calcio
25 Apr
Lavagnese
4 : 2
Borgomanero
19 Apr
Borgomanero
2 : 6
Acqui US
12 Apr
Cuneo
1 : 0
Borgomanero
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuneo 38 24 7 7 63:30 79
2 Sestri Levante 38 22 12 4 48:24 78
3 AC Chieri 38 22 8 8 60:36 74
4 Borgosesia Calcio 38 22 7 9 73:46 73
5 Caronnese 38 19 14 5 62:33 71
6 Pro Settimo 38 19 9 10 56:41 66
7 Bra 38 18 11 9 68:49 65
8 OltrepoVoghera 38 18 7 13 59:50 61
9 Lavagnese 38 16 10 12 50:43 58
10 Acqui US 38 14 12 12 53:49 54
11 Sporting Bellinzago 38 14 9 15 56:60 51
12 Vado 38 13 8 17 54:62 47
13 Novese 38 12 9 17 45:48 45
14 Asti Calcio 38 11 11 16 40:50 44
15 Argentina 38 11 11 16 58:70 44
16 RapalloBogliasco 38 11 9 18 46:57 42
17 Sancolombano 38 7 12 19 29:48 33
18 Derthona FbC 38 6 9 23 30:61 27
19 Vallee d'Aoste 38 5 6 27 37:74 21
20 Borgomanero 38 3 5 30 29:85 14
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
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Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)