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Novese vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Novese Logo

Novese

0 - 3
FT
Gozzano Logo

Gozzano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Novese
15%
Draws
85%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Novese haven't matched Gozzano's recent run of results.
  • Gozzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Novese Clean Sheet 20%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novese Gozzano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 10
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Gozzano
0:3
Sep 6, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Novese
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novese 10 / 100
Gozzano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novese Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Gozzano let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Novese found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Gozzano has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gozzano
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novese

(Home)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
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Gozzano

(Away)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)