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Novi Pazar vs Akhmat Grozny

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Ghandri N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Novi Pazar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novi Pazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Novi Pazar
6%
Draws
90%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akhmat Grozny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akhmat Grozny lately — more wins on the board than Novi Pazar.
  • Win probability leans Akhmat Grozny's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 12%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Jan 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Jan 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs Akhmat Grozny
3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar Akhmat Grozny

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Novi Pazar scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Novi Pazar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS Akhmat Grozny
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%