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Stadium Background

Novi Pazar vs MFK Karvina

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Conde O.
53' Event
Alilovic Z.
83' Event
Manev J.

AI Match Summary

Novi Pazar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novi Pazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Novi Pazar
44%
Draws
20%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MFK Karvina lately — more wins on the board than Novi Pazar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 16%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar MFK Karvina
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs MFK Karvina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Alilovic Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manev J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Conde O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 36 / 100
MFK Karvina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MFK Karvina conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Novi Pazar scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Novi Pazar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS MFK Karvina
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novi Pazar

(Home)
18 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 0
Radnicki 1923
09 Jul
Novi Pazar
0 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
01 Jul
Macva Sabac
2 : 1
Novi Pazar
28 Jun
Mladost Lucani
3 : 1
Novi Pazar
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MFK Karvina

(Away)
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
Povazska Bystrica
07 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Michalovce
04 Jul
Wisla
2 : 0
MFK Karvina
23 May
Sigma Olomouc
4 : 0
MFK Karvina
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