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Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bruncevic E.
Own Goal
58'
Sub
Backulja F. In: Mirosavic V.
Out: Backulja F.
58'
Sub
Bruncevic E. In: Kurdic N.
Out: Bruncevic E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Novi Pazar and Spartak Subotica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Subotica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Novi Pazar
6%
Draws
4%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Novi Pazar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Novi Pazar taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 2
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.43
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar
1:1
Jul 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sumo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spartak Subotica Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavkovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 84 / 100
Spartak Subotica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar Spartak Subotica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Spartak Subotica lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Novi Pazar scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS Spartak Subotica
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.43
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 29%