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Novigrad vs Grobnican

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

3 - 3
FT
Grobnican Logo

Grobnican

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Novigrad and Grobnican finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Novigrad
30%
Draws
54%
Grobnican
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobnican

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobnican carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Grobnican are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 14%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad Grobnican
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 11 18
Draws 8 14
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Grobnican
3:3
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL West
Grobnican vs Novigrad
3:0
May 1, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Grobnican
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL West
Grobnican vs Novigrad
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 27 / 100
Grobnican 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad Grobnican

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobnican Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Novigrad's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grobnican conceded in 77% of 47 recent games.

Novigrad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobnican
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
Page 1 of 6

Grobnican

(Away)
19 Sept
Grobnican
5 : 1
NK Koprivnica
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
22 Aug
Grobnican
0 : 3
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)