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Novigrad vs Nehaj Senj

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

2 - 1
FT
Nehaj Senj Logo

Nehaj Senj

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novigrad in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novigrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Novigrad
30%
Draws
23%
Nehaj Senj
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novigrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novigrad have won more games recently than Nehaj Senj.
  • Novigrad are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 12%
Nehaj Senj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad Nehaj Senj
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Novigrad
3:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Nehaj Senj
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Nehaj Senj
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Novigrad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 47 / 100
Nehaj Senj 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad Nehaj Senj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novigrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novigrad scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Nehaj Senj let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Nehaj Senj registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novigrad VS Nehaj Senj
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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Nehaj Senj

(Away)
26 Aug
Nehaj Senj
1 : 2
Vukovar 1991
28 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Croatia Dakovo
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Nehaj Senj
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
21 May
Rudar Labin
4 : 1
Nehaj Senj
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)