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Novigrad vs Rudar Labin

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

2 - 3
FT
Rudar Labin Logo

Rudar Labin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Novigrad and Rudar Labin finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rudar Labin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Novigrad
20%
Draws
60%
Rudar Labin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rudar Labin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rudar Labin come out ahead of Novigrad on wins alone.
  • Rudar Labin are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 15%
Rudar Labin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad Rudar Labin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Rudar Labin
2:3
Nov 23, 2021 3. HNL West
Rudar Labin vs Novigrad
1:0
Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Rudar Labin
0:0
Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL West
Rudar Labin vs Novigrad
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 19 / 100
Rudar Labin 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad Rudar Labin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rudar Labin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novigrad scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Rudar Labin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Rudar Labin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novigrad VS Rudar Labin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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Rudar Labin

(Away)
19 Aug
Rudar Labin
2 : 3
Zagora
28 May
Grobnican
2 : 1
Rudar Labin
21 May
Rudar Labin
4 : 1
Nehaj Senj
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Rudar Labin
1 : 3
Crikvenica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)