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Novo Esporte vs Tupi-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Novo Esporte and Tupi-MG finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Novo Esporte
6%
Draws
4%
Tupi-MG
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Novo Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tupi-MG haven't matched Novo Esporte's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Novo Esporte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 20%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Esporte Tupi-MG
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Novo Esporte
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs Tupi-MG
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Esporte 85 / 100
Tupi-MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Esporte Tupi-MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Esporte scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Tupi-MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Novo Esporte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novo Esporte VS Tupi-MG
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tupi-MG633011:712
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632112:611
3Novo Esporte63218:411
4Inter de Minas631211:710
5Boston City62137:117
6Uniao Luziense60334:73
7Serranense60245:162
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boa541013:113
2Paracatu51315:86
3Juventus Minasnovense51226:105
4Essube51225:65
5Passos51223:45
6Nacional Uberaba51225:85