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Novo Esporte vs Venda Nova FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 game between Novo Esporte and Venda Nova FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Novo Esporte
33%
Draws
41%
Venda Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Venda Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novo Esporte come out ahead of Venda Nova FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Venda Nova FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 15%
Venda Nova FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Esporte Venda Nova FC
Matches Played 26 4
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 1.38 3.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs Venda Nova FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Esporte 10 / 100
Venda Nova FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Esporte Venda Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venda Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Esporte found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Novo Esporte remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Venda Nova FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 25% of 4 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Novo Esporte VS Venda Nova FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Novo Esporte

(Home)
10 Oct
Novo Esporte
1 : 0
Nacional de Muriae
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
Page 1 of 6

Venda Nova FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Venda Nova FC
3 : 0
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC
2 : 1
Nova Lavras

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Novo Esporte 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Nova Lavras 4 2 0 2 18:4 6
5 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
6 Santarritense 4 0 0 4 1:31 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 2 4 4 0 0 6:0 12
2 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Funorte EC 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
5 Araxa 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
6 Siderurgica 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)