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Novo Hamburgo vs Brasil de Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Giovanni Carignano
70' Event
Giovanni Carignano
74' Event
Japa

AI Match Summary

Brasil de Farroupilha in this Gaucho 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brasil de Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Novo Hamburgo
22%
Draws
18%
Brasil de Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Novo Hamburgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novo Hamburgo lately — more wins on the board than Brasil de Farroupilha.
  • Novo Hamburgo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo Brasil de Farroupilha
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Brasil de Farroupilha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Hamburgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Japa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovanni Carignano
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo 68 / 100
Brasil de Farroupilha 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo Brasil de Farroupilha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Novo Hamburgo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Novo Hamburgo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo VS Brasil de Farroupilha
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00