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Novo Horizonte vs Ipora

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novo Horizonte play Ipora in the Goiano 2 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novo Horizonte averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Ipora averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Novo Horizonte won 0, Ipora won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 18, 2016 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Novo Horizonte and 0.99 for Ipora. This points to a Novo Horizonte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Novo Horizonte
28%
Draws
29%
Ipora
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Novo Horizonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Novo Horizonte picked up more points recently compared to Ipora.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 23%
Ipora Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Horizonte Ipora
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2016 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs Ipora
1:1
Sep 11, 2016 Goiano 2
Ipora vs Novo Horizonte
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Horizonte 43 / 100
Ipora 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Horizonte Ipora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Novo Horizonte or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Novo Horizonte attacking → ← attacking Ipora

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Horizonte scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Ipora let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Novo Horizonte went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ipora lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63