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Novorizontino U20 vs Sao Paulo U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 Logo

Novorizontino U20

2 - 1
FT
Sao Paulo U20 Logo

Sao Paulo U20

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jhones
60' Event
Kauan Alemao
84' Event
Renan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Novorizontino U20
20%
Draws
45%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Novorizontino U20 haven't matched Sao Paulo U20's recent run of results.
  • Sao Paulo U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Novorizontino U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.45 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Novorizontino U20
0:3
Nov 10, 2024 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1
Jan 16, 2024 Copinha
Novorizontino U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhones
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Alemao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino U20 10 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino U20 Sao Paulo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino U20 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Novorizontino U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino U20 VS Sao Paulo U20
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
22 Aug
Novorizontino U20
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
Page 1 of 7

Sao Paulo U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)